19th November 2025
Tipping points – risks and uncertainty
Whilst there is uncertainty around when a certain tipping point maybe reached – and the uncertainty may be as to what temperature rise will trigger the tipping point, or at what date that might happen or at what speed the tipping point will develop its full impact – the risks are real and quantifiable: if sea ice melts sea levels will rise; if temperatures rise and/ or rainfall diminishes, trees will die; if oceans heat up coral reefs will die.
“Despite the uncertainty, tipping points are too risky to ignore. Rising temperatures put people and economies around the world at greater risk of dangerous conditions.
“But there is still room for preventive actions – every fraction of a degree in warming that humans prevent reduces the risk of runaway climate conditions. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions slows warming and tipping point risks.
“Tipping points highlight the stakes, but they also underscore the climate choices humanity can still make to stop the damage”. (1)
We cannot afford to ignore these risks: we must hope for success in the negotiations that are ongoing at COP30.